Our new Deepseek-based AI Says
Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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No one can predict the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With up to date news and a small but feisty 14 Billion criterion design, our AI is boldly predicting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to answer humankind's hardest questions.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as two years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, asteroidsathome.net there remain numerous pressing concerns that are less simple to determine. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be better at predicting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is in fact on the smaller sized side. (Some price quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from numerous months earlier so we have actually constructed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified territory to make its finest prediction possible.
And utahsyardsale.com Now ... The Important Questions
We positioned the following questions to our AI and determined its reaction. While we have seen forecast enhancements from our training, utilize these quotes for prop betting at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...
First, I'll take a look at the crucial points from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, mariskamast.net and she's been helpful of his profession, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.
Some fans are delighted, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, particularly given comments Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.
I believe the essential points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial occasion, the chances and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, possibly around 5%, considering all factors.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% chance
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a various front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable attempts? Looks like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.
Alright, I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it appears like it's a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and strategy.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the move. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. ... I also require to consider the defensive techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are mindful of the Eagles' "tush-push" strategy, they might adjust their defense accordingly, which could either increase or reduce the number of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than 5 appears like a substantial number but possible offered their self-confidence, I would approximate a probability around 60-70% chance. This accounts for their preparation, self-confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll utilize it a number of times, especially if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility
While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling backward and forward, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That seems considerable because it reveals he's done it previously, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That might suggest he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.
However, he's also associated with a fight with Drake, which may give him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement match from Drake, so possibly he's careful about including any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar might feel obliged to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations throughout the halftime show, so there's a risk that such material may be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making strong proceed huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which may provide him more innovative freedom. Plus, his past habits suggests he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.
But I likewise remember reading that Lamar expressed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could show he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's concentrating on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, present shifts in focus, legal issues, and the event's context-the possibility seems to be moderately high, perhaps around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity
Lets be honest, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Appears like theres rather of a chance that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't imply to trigger offense and that he actually found it amusing himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.
Looking at the short articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's an individual who takes pleasure in eating, especially with his team. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the scenario is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% chance
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't fool the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and believes anything can happen when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historic information that may influence this prediction.
First, I go through the articles provided. They all discuss the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has turned up more frequently than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a huge distinction.
However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is normally considered random. The slight historical edge for tails could be due to opportunity. But when making predictions, sometimes historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I need to think about whether this historical bias ought to influence the probability.
After thinking of it, I choose that while the historical data reveals a slight choice for tails, it's not statistically significant enough to move the likelihood away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the slight historic edge exists but doesn't bypass the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% chance
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely believe the same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI states the opportunities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of articles that talk about conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful calls in current video games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get annoyed when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "outrageous." They state there's no proof of methodical bias. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may imply there's no real basis or they would have addressed it differently if there was some truth to it.
Taking a look at the short articles, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also pointed out that statistical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have been penalized more because 2022. That's intriguing since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely extremely low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't eliminate every possibility, however incredibly unlikely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth enjoying the game still? I think I'll need to wait and see how the video game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent video game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, at least it can gain from this.