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Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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Nobody can predict the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With up to date news and a small but feisty 14 Billion parameter design, our AI is boldly predicting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to respond to mankind's most difficult concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as 2 years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain numerous pushing questions that are less easy to determine. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has actually been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some appealing improvements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is really on the smaller side. (Some price quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from many months ago so we have developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown area to make its best prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We posed the following concerns to our AI and gauged its action. While we have actually seen forecast enhancements from our training, utilize these price quotes for prop betting at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

And so it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta aspect in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll look at the essential points from the posts. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been supportive of his career, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her loved ones to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.

Some fans are excited, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically given comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not dealing with the speculation straight.

I believe the crucial points are the speculation and his evasive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the chances and his actions suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, perhaps around 5%, considering all elements.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% chance

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I'm attempting to find out the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend what exactly a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it looks like it's a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and technique.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to execute the move. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to believe about the protective strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are aware of the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they may adjust their defense appropriately, which could either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than five appears like a significant number but possible offered their confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% opportunity. This accounts for their preparation, self-confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll utilize it a number of times, especially if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% chance

While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.

From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That appears substantial because it shows he's done it before, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current posts, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That could imply he's less likely to address Trump this time.

However, he's likewise included in a fight with Drake, which may provide him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement suit from Drake, so possibly he's careful about consisting of any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But considering that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar might feel compelled to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements during the halftime program, so there's a danger that such content might be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making vibrant carry on huge phases. He's the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which might provide him more innovative freedom. Plus, his previous habits recommends he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public performances.

But I likewise keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, existing shifts in focus, legal problems, and the occasion's context-the likelihood appears to be moderately high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be honest, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the fact that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, asteroidsathome.net saying he didn't indicate to cause offense which he in fact found it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.

Taking a look at the posts, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who delights in eating, specifically with his group. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially financially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can occur when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historical data that may influence this forecast.

First, I read through the posts supplied. They all mention the historical stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has turned up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a slight edge, however it's not a big distinction.

However, I bear in mind that the result of a coin toss is generally considered random. The minor historic edge for tails might be due to opportunity. But when making predictions, sometimes people weigh historic information even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I ought to consider whether this historical bias ought to influence the likelihood.

After thinking of it, I choose that while the historic information shows a slight preference for tails, it's not statistically significant sufficient to move the likelihood away from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the minor historical edge exists but doesn't override the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI says the chances are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to find out the possibility that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite major accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of articles that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some questionable hire current video games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get frustrated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ridiculous." They state there's no proof of organized predisposition. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it might imply there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Taking a look at the articles, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also mentioned that statistical analysis does not reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For instance, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have been punished more since 2022. That's fascinating since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less penalties, right?

...

So, putting it all together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely very low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't eliminate every possibility, however incredibly not likely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth enjoying the video game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the video game ends up before we release this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hi, if it ends up our AI was wrong about everything, at least it can gain from this.